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Q2 Quarterly Reports Investment Management

Q2 2026-Quarterly Investment Letter

Geopolitics dominated the quarter, as Venezuela, Greenland-related tariff tensions, and the Iran conflict disrupted trade routes, triggered an oil shock, and revived stagflation concerns globally. The US economy remained broadly resilient, though growth slowed, labour markets softened at the margin, inflation stayed above target, and the policy mix became increasingly politicised. Europe improved modestly from

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Concrete stairs credit investment

Geopolitical Tail Risks and Bank Capital Opportunities

While the conflict’s evolution remains unpredictable, the outlook for specific segments remains resilient despite elevated tail risks, particularly in sectors supported by fundamental drivers. With oil and gas at $90/bbl and €50/MWh, Eurozone inflation is projected to reach 2.5%, a level unlikely to necessitate further ECB tightening. Strong household savings and government support should mitigate

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Concrete stairs credit investment

European HY Resilient Issuance Amidst Sponsor Stagnation

The European High Yield market experienced an exceptional surge in activity throughout 2025, marking one of its most robust issuance periods of the decade. Annual volumes surged to an equivalent of EUR 132.1 billion, representing an 8.8% increase year on year. This activity comprised 263 tranches from 190 different issuers, a total surpassed only by

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Alpinum Quarterly Investment Letter

Q1 2026 – Quarterly Investment Letter

A higher-nominal world has emerged, driven by persistent fiscal deficits, rising protectionism and competitive currency devaluations that structurally elevate inflation and interest rates. In the fourth quarter, global activity remained resilient, holding up despite renewed tariff pressures and persistent geopolitical tensions. The US economy saw moderating growth, easing inflation pressures, and rising policy and trade

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Concrete stairs credit investment

European High Yield Quality Evolution

The European High Yield bond market shows significant cyclical evolution. Issuances reached their historical peak in 2021 with €149.9 billion, driven by exceptional post-COVID liquidity conditions. However, the market experienced a dramatic contraction in 2022 (€31.8 billion), followed by gradual recovery in 2024 (€120.2 billion). Meanwhile, a notable transformation in maturity structure is observed: concentration

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